As we’ve already seen, NFL coaching changes aren’t exactly uncommon. However, this year it looks like the early part of the first round of the 2020 draft is going to be a little less unpredictable, with a number of teams in danger of losing their current head coaches sooner than usual.

For the first time in NFL history, the Cowboys and their 53-year-old head coach Mike McCarthy are at risk of being fired during the upcoming season. With the team’s failure to make the playoffs in the past two seasons, the Cowboys brass has decided it’s time for a change. And when it comes to coaches who are most likely to get fired in the next five years, McCarthy is currently the #4 choice, just behind Jon Gruden, Matt Patricia, and Bill O’Brien.

Only 11 NFL coaches have been fired since the year 2000. Following the Cowboys’ disappointing 10-8 finish in 2017, the team’s faithful have their eyes on a change in the club’s leadership for the first time since 2000. Even the most loyal supporters are starting to wonder if the organization should part ways with Head Coach Jason Garrett.. Read more about dallas cowboys coaches and let us know what you think.

Almost every year, at least one NFL coach is fired before the season ends. It happens so often that it is possible to make bets in the NFL on who will be the first coach to be fired. The coach most likely to leave in 2021, according to the odds, is Dallas Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy.

McCarthy may have just packed his bags in Big D, but he’s already on the hot seat. It has a $160 million quarterback and an owner whose team has not advanced beyond the second round of the playoffs since it won the Super Bowl 26 years ago. For this reason, sports bettors would rather see McCarthy go out the door as the first coach.

Mike McCarthy has been with the Dallas Cowboys since 2020

Mike McCarthy and Jerry Jones | Photo Tom Pennington/Getty Images

McCarthy is from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and played college football at NAIA Baker University in Kansas, according to DallasCowboys.com. After six years of coaching at small colleges, McCarthy got his first NFL job with the Kansas City Chiefs as a quality control coach in 1993.

After 13 years as an assistant, McCarthy was promoted to head coach at Green Bay in 2006 at the age of 42. He led the Packers for 13 seasons and oversaw the quarterback switch from Brett Favre to Aaron Rodgers. He and Rodgers won Super Bowl XLV together in January 2011.

In the midst of their second consecutive disappointing 2018 season, the Packers fired McCarthy after Week 13. After a year off, the Cowboys hired him as their new head coach in January 2020.

McCarthy’s best chance to fire the NFL’s first coach in 2021 is

According to sports betting, McCarthy has the lowest odds of becoming the NFL’s first fired coach at 7/1, according to the Dallas Morning News. He’s not the only one in trouble this season. Vic Fangio of the Denver Broncos and Matt Nagy of the Chicago Bears are right behind him at 8/1 and 9/1 respectively.

Just behind this trio, there are some interesting wide angle shots. Jon Gruden is more than halfway through his $100 million contract with the Raiders, but he’s only priced at 10/1, while highly regarded Mike Zimmer is 11/1 in Minnesota.

At 12/1 you get new coaches Cliff Kinsbury (Arizona Cardinals) and Zach Taylor (Cincinnati Bengals), and at 16/1 you get first-year head coach David Calley (Houston Texans) and second-year head coach Matt Rhule (Carolina Panthers).

New England Patriots guru Bill Belichick and Super Bowl defender Bruce Arians of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are among the longest-serving coaches to be fired first. Your odds are 250/1. But the honor of being the first to be fired goes to Andy Reid of the Kansas City Chiefs.

Jerry Jones is more loyal than you think

It makes sense that sports bettors would try to bet on McCarthy as the first NFL coach to be fired. The Cowboys are still a pressure cooker and the center of media attention. Owner Jerry Jones is not afraid to criticize a coach or player if he feels they are not playing at the right level.

But Jones is actually much more loyal to coaches than people realize. Yes, he had a disagreement with his University of Arkansas teammate Jimmie Johnson, but after that coaches usually stay in Dallas for a long time.

Following Johnson, Barry Switzer also retired after four seasons. Jones fired Chan Gailey and Dave Campo, but Campo later returned as an assistant. Bill Parcells retired and made way for Wade Phillips, who Jones fired 1-7 after just four seasons.

Troy Aikman’s former replacement, Jason Garrett, temporarily replaced Phillips and ended up coaching nine more seasons, although he made the playoffs only three times in nearly a decade.

If Garrett lasted nearly 10 years, McCarthy should last two full seasons. However, the former Green Bay coach doesn’t have the same long-standing ties to the Cowboys as Garrett, Gailey and Campo. So maybe it’s not such a bad bet after all.

All statistics are from Pro Football Reference

CORRESPONDS TO: Dak Prescott names his candidates for key Dallas Cowboys teams in 2021

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